Osprey Flight Solutions Forecasts
In July 2023, Osprey Flight Solutions began issuing forecasts regarding global activity impacting aviation that has a realistic possibility, is likely or has a near certain likelihood of occurring in the future. Up until the end of 2023, we published a total of 220 forecasts. These included 113 related to social unrest/industrial action, including environmental […]
Sudan Conflict: Osprey’s analysis of the impacts on aviation
Background On 15 April, the Sudanese Army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) were reported to have begun fighting throughout Sudan. Armed clashes have been reported in Khartoum, Merowe (Marawi), Nyala, Port Sudan, Zelengi, El Fasher, Omdurman, El Obeid, Damazine, Gedaref, Blue Nile state, Kassala and North Darfur, Central Darfur and West Darfur. In […]
The Russian Invasion of Ukraine
One year on from the Russian invasion of Ukraine, on 24 February 2022, Osprey Flight Solutions takes a deep dive into the conflict and how this has impacted the aviation industry. Background Since Russia commenced its invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, airspace closures and flight bans have severely impacted civilian flight operations, particularly […]
Aircrew Security: Criminal risks to aviation operators
Violent criminal activity and/or organised crime such as armed robberies, thefts, assaults and follow-home robberies at airports and in the surrounding areas have the potential to negatively impact flight crews. These incidents commonly occur either at the airport, at airport car parks or along highways leading to/from facilities. While most criminal incidents tend to target […]
Insider Threat: Impacts of the economic crisis on aviation security
Amid high rates of inflation driven by the pandemic and the Ukraine invasion, Osprey assesses that the global cost-of-living crisis will increase the insider threat to aviation operations The threat posed by aviation insiders has long been a significant concern to the industry for a multitude of reasons. First, the access and knowledge with which […]
Situation Updates over the Holiday Period
During the holiday period from 20 December through to 4 January, Osprey continued to support the aviation industry with comprehensive security intelligence analysis. In multiple cases, Osprey provided proactive “left of bang” alerting of potential conflict zone and/or conventional military activity that could pose a threat or hazard to aviation. Being able to understand the […]
Yemen-Saudi Situation Update
On 3 October 2022, a UN-mediated ceasefire between the Saudi-led coalition (SLC) – as well as its aligned forces in Yemen – and the Houthis ended. The UN envoy to Yemen has said that negotiations remain ongoing to revive the ceasefire; however, an agreement has not been reached to date. The initial ceasefire ran from […]
Social Unrest: The impacts of socioeconomic crises on aviation security
Globally, the impacts of civil unrest are increasing; in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, ongoing socioeconomic pressures are causing high inflation, recession fears and political instability. Many countries have seen protest action and prolonged bouts of civil unrest. Sri Lanka, for example, has struggled throughout 2022 with large-scale protests that, while initially peaceful, have […]
Recruitment, training and deployment: Pressures on aviation security during the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic
Russia-Ukraine: Situation Update
Russia-Ukraine: malicious cyber activity targeting aviation entities
There is a solution: harnessing data the Osprey way
