Tensions remain high between Ukraine and Russia over Russian military deployments into Crimea, as well as to the Voronezh oblast, Rostov oblast and Krasnodar Krai, located adjacent to the eastern Ukrainian regions of Donetsk and Luhansk. The US, UK, EU and NATO have all made statements in support of Ukraine and called on Russia to avoid escalating the situation along the border.

Meanwhile, Russia has accused Ukraine of inflaming the conflict in Donetsk and Luhansk, while accusing NATO of conducting increased levels of air and naval activity in the Black Sea in the past month.

The airspace operational situation over portions of Ukraine, Russia and the Black Sea remains fluid and subject to rapid change.

Click here to view the situation update as of 10 January 2022.

To read our December 2021 case study on the situation changes, please click here

To read our April 2021 case study assessing the situation, please click here.


About the author

Matthew Borie Chief Intelligence Officer

As Chief Intelligence Officer, Matt provides strategic direction for Osprey’s data collection and analytical output, as well as expert analysis on a wide range of aviation-related issues, with a focus on conflict zone activity.

He has 14 years of aviation security and intelligence experience in the public and private sectors. Previously, Matt worked as an intelligence analyst at the MedAire & Control Risks Aviation Security Center. Prior to that, he completed an eight-year enlistment in the US Air Force, serving as an Operations Intelligence Craftsman. During his Air Force career, Matt provided intelligence support to fighter aircraft operations, including a deployment to a location in Southeast Asia; he also completed deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan.

Matt holds an Associate’s and Bachelor’s Degrees in Intelligence Studies from American Military University (AMU) and, in August 2015, completed a Master’s Degree in National Security Studies from AMU, followed by a Graduate Certificate in Terrorism Studies in December 2017.

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