Osprey Flight Solutions Forecasts

Gabon election forecast aviation

In July 2023, Osprey Flight Solutions began issuing forecasts regarding global activity impacting aviation that has a realistic possibility, is likely or has a near certain likelihood of occurring in the future. Up until the end of 2023, we published a total of 220 forecasts. These included 113 related to social unrest/industrial action, including environmental […]

The Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Map showing pings related to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, highlighting key locations and military activity throughout the conflict.

One year on from the Russian invasion of Ukraine, on 24 February 2022, Osprey Flight Solutions takes a deep dive into the conflict and how this has impacted the aviation industry.   Background Since Russia commenced its invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, airspace closures and flight bans have severely impacted civilian flight operations, particularly […]

Aircrew Security: Criminal risks to aviation operators

iAirport highlighting potential risks to aviation operators, including security, weather, and operational challenges

Violent criminal activity and/or organised crime such as armed robberies, thefts, assaults and follow-home robberies at airports and in the surrounding areas have the potential to negatively impact flight crews. These incidents commonly occur either at the airport, at airport car parks or along highways leading to/from facilities. While most criminal incidents tend to target […]

Insider Threat: Impacts of the economic crisis on aviation security

Amid high rates of inflation driven by the pandemic and the Ukraine invasion, Osprey assesses that the global cost-of-living crisis will increase the insider threat to aviation operations   The threat posed by aviation insiders has long been a significant concern to the industry for a multitude of reasons. First, the access and knowledge with which […]

Social Unrest: The impacts of socioeconomic crises on aviation security

Osprey header banner promoting safer and more secure aviation, featuring imagery of aviation security measures and risk management solutions.

Globally, the impacts of civil unrest are increasing; in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, ongoing socioeconomic pressures are causing high inflation, recession fears and political instability. Many countries have seen protest action and prolonged bouts of civil unrest. Sri Lanka, for example, has struggled throughout 2022 with large-scale protests that, while initially peaceful, have […]

Gold Smuggling in India: A well-established phenomenon, an evolving threat

Gold smuggling in india. ways it will impact the aviation industry

Introduction Precious metal smuggling involves the illicit transportation of valuable commodities such as gold and silver between continents, countries and provinces via air transport, usually with the aim of circumventing taxes and other restrictions on imports and exports. This enables criminals to re-sell imported items at a reduced price and/or recuperate the cost that would […]